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Predictions/What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on December 31?

What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on December 31?

<$397K · Probability, last 30 days30% → 65%
100%50%0%
Volume
$36K
24h volume
$6K
Liquidity
$21K

Data: Polymarket, updated every minute. · Ends Jan 11, 2027

Outcomes

  • <$397K65%
  • $397K - $407K17%
  • $407K - $417K9%
  • $417K - $427K4%
  • $446K+2%
  • $437K - $446K1%
  • $427K - $437K<1%

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on December 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on December 31, 2026. If no data for December 31 is released by January 10, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/59)

How to read this market

What does the percentage mean?

It is the latest price of the Yes outcome. Traders pay that share of a dollar for a contract that pays $1 if the event happens, so the price reads as the market's estimate of the chance.

Who decides the result?

The market resolves by the rules below. Polymarket uses the UMA optimistic oracle: anyone can propose the outcome and dispute it during a challenge period.

Can I bet from COINMAG?

Yes, where Polymarket is available. You connect your own wallet; the bet goes to Polymarket and the money never passes through COINMAG.

Place a bet

Price
64.5¢
Shares
15.50
Payout if <$397K: Yes wins
$15.50
Open on Polymarket

Prediction markets carry a high risk of loss. Bets go to Polymarket from your own wallet; COINMAG never holds your funds and is not a party to the trade.

Not available in the US, UK, France, Germany, Russia and some other countries.

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