<1% chance−5 pp in 24h
Data: Polymarket, updated every minute. · Ends Nov 1, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term between October 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and October 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Ethereum’s effective validator stake grew by about 361,000 ETH in October, while total consensus‑layer holdings fell, reflecting deposit queues and withdrawal timing.
Despite a 7.3% price drop, Bitcoin miners generated $1.215 billion in October, the highest monthly revenue since November 2025, while hashprice slid to $33.18 per PH/s.
Bitcoin finished October down 7.32%, its weakest monthly performance in 12 years, as a major security breach at Binance and ETF outflows weighed on prices.
It is the latest price of the Yes outcome. Traders pay that share of a dollar for a contract that pays $1 if the event happens, so the price reads as the market's estimate of the chance.
The market resolves by the rules below. Polymarket uses the UMA optimistic oracle: anyone can propose the outcome and dispute it during a challenge period.
Yes, where Polymarket is available. You connect your own wallet; the bet goes to Polymarket and the money never passes through COINMAG.
