Bitcoin slides below $80,000 as tech stocks slump and ETF outflows intensify
Bitcoin fell to $76,861 amid falling Treasury yields, weak tech equities and record outflows from US spot Bitcoin ETFs, challenging a near‑term recovery.
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Data: Polymarket, updated every minute. · Ends Feb 1, 2027
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on January 31, 2027, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Bitcoin fell to $76,861 amid falling Treasury yields, weak tech equities and record outflows from US spot Bitcoin ETFs, challenging a near‑term recovery.
A newly discovered zero‑click vulnerability in Linux (CVE‑2026‑98432) received a 9.8 CVSS score, prompting urgent patches from Ubuntu, Red Hat and major cloud providers.
Next Technology’s board approved a plan to sell or pledge its 5,833‑bitcoin treasury, citing the recent Binance breach and emerging quantum‑computing threats.
It is the latest price of the Yes outcome. Traders pay that share of a dollar for a contract that pays $1 if the event happens, so the price reads as the market's estimate of the chance.
The market resolves by the rules below. Polymarket uses the UMA optimistic oracle: anyone can propose the outcome and dispute it during a challenge period.
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The Bank of Japan will increase its annual equity ETF disposals from ¥330 billion to ¥860 billion starting next year, a move that could indirectly impact crypto markets through leveraged portfolio stress.
China's STAR50 tech index lost about $480 billion, a 40% drop since July, while Bitcoin rose roughly 27% over the same period, highlighting divergent market dynamics.
Polymarket paused its international platform on Oct. 29 after a compromised third‑party script drained millions of POL tokens, then reopened trading and pledged full reimbursement.
