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Predictions/Swiss National Bank Decision in June?

Swiss National Bank Decision in June?

25 bps increase · Probability, last 30 days38% → 43%
100%50%0%
Volume
$12K
24h volume
$3K
Liquidity
$2K

Data: Polymarket, updated every minute. · Ends Jun 24, 2027

Outcomes

  • 25 bps increase43%
  • No Change28%
  • 25 bps decrease25%
  • 50+ bps decrease5%
  • 50+ bps increase2%

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the SNB policy rate resulting from the June 2027 meeting of the Swiss National Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its June 2027 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for June 24, 2027, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its June 2027 meeting with relevant data is issued.

If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.

If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.

If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

Resolution source: snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule

How to read this market

What does the percentage mean?

It is the latest price of the Yes outcome. Traders pay that share of a dollar for a contract that pays $1 if the event happens, so the price reads as the market's estimate of the chance.

Who decides the result?

The market resolves by the rules below. Polymarket uses the UMA optimistic oracle: anyone can propose the outcome and dispute it during a challenge period.

Can I bet from COINMAG?

Yes, where Polymarket is available. You connect your own wallet; the bet goes to Polymarket and the money never passes through COINMAG.

Place a bet

Price
42.5¢
Shares
23.53
Payout if 25 bps increase: Yes wins
$23.53
Open on Polymarket

Prediction markets carry a high risk of loss. Bets go to Polymarket from your own wallet; COINMAG never holds your funds and is not a party to the trade.

Not available in the US, UK, France, Germany, Russia and some other countries.

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