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Predictions/OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO by December 31, 2026 · Probability, last 30 days97% → 96%
100%50%0%
Volume
$2.6M
24h volume
$39K
Liquidity
$466K

Data: Polymarket, updated every minute. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Outcomes

  • No IPO by December 31, 202696%
  • 1.5T+<1%
  • <500B<1%
  • 750B–1T<1%
  • 1T–1.25T<1%
  • 500–750B<1%
  • 1.25T–1.5T<1%

Resolution rules

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Related news

OPENAI
Institutions·3 days ago

OpenAI Cuts 2027 Fundraising Target by $10B

OpenAI has lowered its 2027 fundraising goal from $30B to $20B amid a tech‑stock sell‑off and weaker investor demand, trimming its valuation to $1.25T.

CCOINMAGVerified
8310
ANTHROPIC
Institutions·4 days ago

Anthropic IPO filing shows founders could own up to $203 billion if $2 trillion valuation materialises

Anthropic’s seven co‑founders collectively hold roughly 1.4% of the AI firm, a stake that could be worth more than $200 billion under a $2 trillion IPO valuation.

CCOINMAGVerified
1.0K0
LBANK
Institutions·5 days ago

LBank launches Pre‑IPO market with tokenized Kalshi offering

LBank has opened a Pre‑IPO market, letting users buy tokenized exposure to Kalshi ahead of its potential IPO, with two token options and a $500k subscription cap.

CChainwire
1.0K0

How to read this market

What does the percentage mean?

It is the latest price of the Yes outcome. Traders pay that share of a dollar for a contract that pays $1 if the event happens, so the price reads as the market's estimate of the chance.

Who decides the result?

The market resolves by the rules below. Polymarket uses the UMA optimistic oracle: anyone can propose the outcome and dispute it during a challenge period.

Can I bet from COINMAG?

Yes, where Polymarket is available. You connect your own wallet; the bet goes to Polymarket and the money never passes through COINMAG.

Place a bet

Price
96¢
Shares
10.42
Payout if No IPO by December 31, 2026: Yes wins
$10.42
Open on Polymarket

Prediction markets carry a high risk of loss. Bets go to Polymarket from your own wallet; COINMAG never holds your funds and is not a party to the trade.

Not available in the US, UK, France, Germany, Russia and some other countries.

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