Data: Polymarket, updated every minute. · Ends Nov 11, 2026
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending October 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in October 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for October 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on November 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolution source: bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm
October saw only 35 dormant Bitcoin transfers totaling 2,159 BTC, a sharp decline from August’s 188 moves, with 2013‑born wallets dominating the activity.
Ethereum’s effective validator stake grew by about 361,000 ETH in October, while total consensus‑layer holdings fell, reflecting deposit queues and withdrawal timing.
Despite a 7.3% price drop, Bitcoin miners generated $1.215 billion in October, the highest monthly revenue since November 2025, while hashprice slid to $33.18 per PH/s.
It is the latest price of the Yes outcome. Traders pay that share of a dollar for a contract that pays $1 if the event happens, so the price reads as the market's estimate of the chance.
The market resolves by the rules below. Polymarket uses the UMA optimistic oracle: anyone can propose the outcome and dispute it during a challenge period.
Yes, where Polymarket is available. You connect your own wallet; the bet goes to Polymarket and the money never passes through COINMAG.
Bitcoin finished October down 7.32%, its weakest monthly performance in 12 years, as a major security breach at Binance and ETF outflows weighed on prices.
