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Predictions/Next DeepSeek Pro released by...?

Next DeepSeek Pro released by...?

December 31 · Probability, last 30 days48% → 38%
100%50%0%
Volume
$38K
24h volume
$4K
Liquidity
$6K

Data: Polymarket, updated every minute. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Outcomes

  • December 3138%
  • November 3017%

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if DeepSeek's next Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying model must be part of DeepSeek's core model series (currently the V-series), have a name or model identifier that includes "DeepSeek" and "Pro," and be a new model release designated as newer than DeepSeek-V4-Pro-0813, regardless of capitalization or naming convention, including subsequently dated builds, decimal version increases, or new generations. For example, a later dated build named in the same manner as DeepSeek-V4-Pro-0813, a decimal increase such as DeepSeek-V4.1-Pro, or a new generation such as DeepSeek-V5-Pro would qualify, while side or specialized models, such as Janus-Pro or DeepSeek-OCR, or models which are not newer releases than DeepSeek-V4-Pro-0813, such as DeepSeek-V4-Flash or the existing DeepSeek-V4-Pro-0813, will not qualify. A qualifying release must carry a new, distinct model identifier or date designation; updates published under an unchanged identifier will not qualify. If DeepSeek releases a single unified successor without tier naming, it will qualify if it replaces or serves DeepSeek's flagship endpoint or is positioned as DeepSeek's flagship model.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

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How to read this market

What does the percentage mean?

It is the latest price of the Yes outcome. Traders pay that share of a dollar for a contract that pays $1 if the event happens, so the price reads as the market's estimate of the chance.

Who decides the result?

The market resolves by the rules below. Polymarket uses the UMA optimistic oracle: anyone can propose the outcome and dispute it during a challenge period.

Can I bet from COINMAG?

Yes, where Polymarket is available. You connect your own wallet; the bet goes to Polymarket and the money never passes through COINMAG.

Place a bet

Price
38¢
Shares
26.32
Payout if December 31: Yes wins
$26.32
Open on Polymarket

Prediction markets carry a high risk of loss. Bets go to Polymarket from your own wallet; COINMAG never holds your funds and is not a party to the trade.

Not available in the US, UK, France, Germany, Russia and some other countries.

Popular predictions

Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)

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  • IA11%
  • AK8%
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$73.6M volume · Ends Nov 3, 2026

Which party will win the House in 2026?

  • Democratic Party98%
  • Republican Party2%
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  • Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?72%
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$9.4M volume · Ends Nov 4, 2026

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

  • Democrats Sweep82%
  • R Senate, D House17%
  • Republicans Sweep2%
  • +2 more
$68.0M volume · Ends Nov 4, 2026

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

  • Democratic Party83%

All predictions

$FRANCE
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ARTHUR HAYES
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Arthur Hayes Proposes AI‑Compute Futures to Hedge FLOP Token Volatility

Cryptocurrency trader Arthur Hayes has outlined a set of futures contracts aimed at stabilising the cost of AI compute measured in the FLOP token, while exposing buyers to currency risk.

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  • Republican Party18%
  • $23.8M volume · Ends Nov 4, 2026

    Texas Senate Election Winner

    • James Talarico (D)79%
    • Ken Paxton (R)22%
    $17.3M volume · Ends Nov 4, 2026