How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in November?
4.80% · Probability, last 30 days51% → 57%
100%50%0%
Volume
$8K
24h volume
$2K
Liquidity
$829
Data: Polymarket, updated every minute. · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Outcomes
4.76%81%
4.80%56%
4.84%31%
4.88%31%
4.92%16%
4.97%13%
5.02%2%
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 2-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 3, 2026 and November 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 2-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for the last business day of November 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for the last business day of November 2026 by December 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "2 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
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CCOINMAG
1.2K
How to read this market
What does the percentage mean?
It is the latest price of the Yes outcome. Traders pay that share of a dollar for a contract that pays $1 if the event happens, so the price reads as the market's estimate of the chance.
Who decides the result?
The market resolves by the rules below. Polymarket uses the UMA optimistic oracle: anyone can propose the outcome and dispute it during a challenge period.
Can I bet from COINMAG?
Yes, where Polymarket is available. You connect your own wallet; the bet goes to Polymarket and the money never passes through COINMAG. A COINMAG fee of 1% is added to each bet.
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FinCEN and the Federal Reserve withdrew their 2020 plan to lower the cross‑border crypto reporting threshold from $3,000 to $250, keeping current rules unchanged.