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Predictions/Highest grossing movie in 2026?

Highest grossing movie in 2026?

Spider-Man: Brand New Day · Probability, last 30 days96% → 95%
100%50%0%
Volume
$17.9M
24h volume
$43K
Liquidity
$2.4M

Data: Polymarket, updated every minute. · Ends Jan 8, 2027

Outcomes

  • Spider-Man: Brand New Day95%
  • Avengers: Doomsday4%
  • Wicked: For Good<1%
  • Wuthering Heights<1%
  • Scream 7<1%
  • Michael<1%
  • Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu<1%
  • Toy Story 5<1%
  • The Odyssey<1%
  • The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping<1%
  • Dune: Messiah<1%
  • Project Hail Mary<1%
  • The Super Mario Galaxy Movie<1%
  • Jumanji 3<1%

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available.

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

How to read this market

What does the percentage mean?

It is the latest price of the Yes outcome. Traders pay that share of a dollar for a contract that pays $1 if the event happens, so the price reads as the market's estimate of the chance.

Who decides the result?

The market resolves by the rules below. Polymarket uses the UMA optimistic oracle: anyone can propose the outcome and dispute it during a challenge period.

Can I bet from COINMAG?

Yes, where Polymarket is available. You connect your own wallet; the bet goes to Polymarket and the money never passes through COINMAG.

Place a bet

Price
95¢
Shares
10.53
Payout if Spider-Man: Brand New Day: Yes wins
$10.53
Open on Polymarket

Prediction markets carry a high risk of loss. Bets go to Polymarket from your own wallet; COINMAG never holds your funds and is not a party to the trade.

Not available in the US, UK, France, Germany, Russia and some other countries.

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