50% chance
Data: Polymarket, updated every minute. · Ends Nov 12, 2026
This market will resolve to "Positive" if total Ethereum ETF flows on Thursday, November 12, 2026 are greater than 0, and to "Negative" if they are less than 0.
If flows are exactly 0, the market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source is Farside Investors, specifically the ETF Flow tab available at https://farside.co.uk/eth/ in the "Total" column for the date specified in the title.
The total flows will be considered finalized for that day once flows for all ETF providers have been published. If data for any ETF provider remains unpublished by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the date specified in the title, the market will resolve based on all available data published up to that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or fails to publish any data by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the specified date, the market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: farside.co.uk/eth/
Analytics firm Santiment reports that bullish commentary on Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP has fallen below parity, suggesting fear may set the stage for a relief rally.
Naomi JohnsonBlur will deactivate its website on November 12, ending the primary UI for NFT trades and halting new Blend loan matches, while on‑chain contracts remain active.
Ayu PramestiPyth Network has added live NYSE Best Quote and Trades data from five exchanges, giving crypto applications a direct channel for U.S. equity prices.
Naomi JohnsonBarclays increased its holding in BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust to 3.94 million shares, valued at $187 million, as banks expand exposure to spot Bitcoin ETFs.
Naomi JohnsonDeutsche Bank began offering custodial storage of Bitcoin, Ether, USDC, EURC and EURAU to paying institutional and corporate clients in Europe, with plans to expand to Asia in 2027.
Rahul VermaKimber Digital Securities, a Plume affiliate, registered as a broker‑dealer with the SEC and joined FINRA, paving the way for on‑chain trading of tokenized US equities and fixed‑income assets.
Naomi JohnsonIt is the latest price of the Yes outcome. Traders pay that share of a dollar for a contract that pays $1 if the event happens, so the price reads as the market's estimate of the chance.
The market resolves by the rules below. Polymarket uses the UMA optimistic oracle: anyone can propose the outcome and dispute it during a challenge period.
Yes, where Polymarket is available. You connect your own wallet; the bet goes to Polymarket and the money never passes through COINMAG. A COINMAG fee of 1% is added to each bet.
