December 31, 2026 · Probability, last 30 days6% → 2%
100%50%0%
Volume
$2.7M
24h volume
$10
Liquidity
$82K
Data: Polymarket, updated every minute. · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Outcomes
December 31, 20262%
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT between 16 December '25 16:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Ethereum co‑founder Vitalik Buterin cautioned that advanced AI might discover shortcuts to break the elliptic curve math protecting ETH and BTC, adding a new threat to the crypto security landscape.
Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin revealed he uses AI-assisted command-line tools for ENS updates and private transactions to reduce reliance on web interfaces.
Ethereum’s effective validator stake grew by about 361,000 ETH in October, while total consensus‑layer holdings fell, reflecting deposit queues and withdrawal timing.
CCOINMAG
7830
How to read this market
What does the percentage mean?
It is the latest price of the Yes outcome. Traders pay that share of a dollar for a contract that pays $1 if the event happens, so the price reads as the market's estimate of the chance.
Who decides the result?
The market resolves by the rules below. Polymarket uses the UMA optimistic oracle: anyone can propose the outcome and dispute it during a challenge period.
Can I bet from COINMAG?
Yes, where Polymarket is available. You connect your own wallet; the bet goes to Polymarket and the money never passes through COINMAG.
A large, unidentified investor bought 27,553 ETH for about $63 million over five hours, sparking speculation that smart money may be bottom‑catching as ETH trades near $2,300.
A one‑block Ethereum reorganization caused a double refund of 10 ETH on Thorchain, prompting an emergency pause that stopped swaps on 12 networks and unintentionally delayed laundering of Binance‑stolen funds.