Data: Polymarket, updated every minute. · Ends Jan 27, 2027
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the Selic rate resulting from the January 2027 meeting of the Bank of Brazil’s Monetary Policy Committee (COPOM), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Brazil, including the statement or release from its January 2027 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for January 26 and January 27, 2027, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar (https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar?categoria=Monetary%20Policy%20Committee%20(Copom)). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Brazil's January 2027 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Resolution source: bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar?categoria=Monetary%20Policy
A Federal Reserve survey reveals net tightening of credit standards for nonbank borrowers, raising concerns that reduced financing could dampen Bitcoin investment appetite.
Custodia Bank has petitioned the Supreme Court to overturn a lower court ruling that permits regional Federal Reserve branches to refuse payment system access to eligible banks.
The Bank of Korea has begun a survey of 31 financial institutions to assess how they would handle major crypto‑related shocks, including exchange hacks and market crashes.
It is the latest price of the Yes outcome. Traders pay that share of a dollar for a contract that pays $1 if the event happens, so the price reads as the market's estimate of the chance.
The market resolves by the rules below. Polymarket uses the UMA optimistic oracle: anyone can propose the outcome and dispute it during a challenge period.
Yes, where Polymarket is available. You connect your own wallet; the bet goes to Polymarket and the money never passes through COINMAG.
Brazil’s central bank reports just 40 of an expected 150‑200 crypto firms applied for operating licenses, forcing most to wind down operations.
The BOJ will sell its equity‑ETF holdings 2.6 times faster, cutting the projected disposal period from 112 to 43 years, while keeping market stability in mind.
U.S. banks lent $349 billion to private credit vehicles at the end of 2025, a risk amplified by growing use of payment‑in‑kind interest that delays cash collection.
