Polymarket prediction markets show the probability traders assign to future events. Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information. Today the biggest swing was a dramatic drop in the Mississippi Senate race, while several Republican and crypto price markets surged.

Mississippi Senate Election Winner (Cindy Hyde‑Smith) drops to 9%

The market fell from 88% to 9%, a 78‑point decline, with $2.0M traded in the last 24 hours. The market resolves on the official election result.

Mississippi Senate Election Winner: live odds and chart

Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets) rise to 86%

Odds jumped from 7% to 86%, a 79‑point increase, on $188K of 24‑hour volume. The market resolves on the final Senate seat count after the midterms.

Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets): live odds and chart

Republicans expected to win all Senate swing states at 93%

Probability rose from 31% to 93%, a 61‑point gain, with $3.4M traded today. The market resolves on which swing‑state Senate seats Republicans actually win.

Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map): live odds and chart

Ethereum above $2,400 on November 5 climbs to 72%

Odds moved from 11% to 72%, a 61‑point rise, on $148K of volume. The market resolves on whether ETH trades above $2,400 on November 5.

Ethereum above ___ on November 5?: live odds and chart

The market rose from 15% to 67%, a 51‑point increase, with $33K traded. The market resolves on the final popular‑vote margin for the House.

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory: live odds and chart