Hormuz / Blockade: 78% 確率
データ：Polymarket（1分ごとに更新） · 2026年11月2日 まで
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Salina, Kansas on November 1, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-ks-president-donald-j-trump-djt47-salina-ks)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in Kansas on November 1, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source will be audio/video of the event.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
「はい」の最新価格です。事象が起きると $1 が支払われる契約に対しトレーダーが支払う金額なので、市場が見積もる確率として読めます。
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