
データ:Polymarket(1分ごとに更新) · 2026年11月2日 まで
The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bulgaria on November 1, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the second round of the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2021 example: https://results.cik.bg/pvrns2021/tur2/aktivnost/index.html).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Централна избирателна комисия, CIK) (e.g., https://results.cik.bg/).
「はい」の最新価格です。事象が起きると $1 が支払われる契約に対しトレーダーが支払う金額なので、市場が見積もる確率として読めます。
市場は下記のルールで判定されます。Polymarket は UMA のオプティミスティック・オラクルを使い、誰でも結果を提案し、異議申立期間中に争うことができます。
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