Harga Brent turun 12,5% karena risiko ketegangan AS‑Iran tetap tinggi
Brent jatuh ke sekitar $98 per barel, namun mantan penasihat Biden Amos Hochstein memperingatkan bahwa peluang terjadinya kembali konflik AS‑Iran masih di atas 50%.
CCOINMAG
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Data: Polymarket, diperbarui setiap menit. · Berakhir 1 Des 2026
On October 1, 2026, Reuters reported that the United States had told France and Germany to release emergency diesel stocks or face a potential US diesel export ban, as Washington presses European countries to draw down their reserves to ease surging diesel prices. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/us-tells-france-germany-release-diesel-stocks-or-face-us-export-ban-sources-say-2026-10-01/
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eurostat publishes a figure for the European Union’s closing stock of EU emergency stocks of gas oil and diesel oil for the month of November 2026 that is greater than or equal to the specified value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant figure is the value in Eurostat’s “Oil products stock levels - monthly data” dataset (nrg_stk_oilm) for: Geopolitical entity “European Union - 27 countries (from 2020)”; Standard international energy product classification “Gas oil and diesel oil”; Stock or flow “Closing stock - EU emergency”; Unit “Thousand tonnes”; Time “2026-11”.
This market will resolve as soon as Eurostat first publishes a figure for November 2026. Revisions to that figure published afterward will not be considered unless in the case of obvious data integrity issues.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data.
Values will count regardless of any status flag (e.g. estimated, provisional). The figure will be used as published, without rounding.
If Eurostat becomes permanently unavailable or has not published a qualifying figure for November 2026 by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the latest data available.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Eurostat, specifically the nrg_stk_oilm dataset at https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/databrowser/view/nrg_stk_oilm__custom_22993801/default/table. If the dataset is discontinued or restructured, the equivalent successor series published by Eurostat will be used.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes values in thousands of tonnes (e.g. 35M tonnes = 35,000 thousand tonnes). Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.
Note: Eurostat publishes monthly emergency oil stock data with a delay. The European Union aggregate is generally published approximately three months after the end of the reference month, once all Member States have reported (for example, data for June 2026 was the latest available as of October 1, 2026). Data for November 2026 is therefore expected to be published around late February or March 2027, and this market will remain unresolved until the publication of qualifying data.
Sumber penyelesaian:
Brent jatuh ke sekitar $98 per barel, namun mantan penasihat Biden Amos Hochstein memperingatkan bahwa peluang terjadinya kembali konflik AS‑Iran masih di atas 50%.
Stok distilat AS turun menjadi 99,26 juta barel, penurunan 3,57 juta barel, mendorong analis menyoroti biaya bahan bakar yang lebih tinggi sebagai hambatan potensial bagi pelonggaran inflasi dan pembiayaan Bitcoin yang lebih murah.
Star Xu, pendiri OKX, mengumumkan di X bahwa OKX Europe kini telah diluncurkan, menawarkan layanan kripto yang diatur di seluruh UE.
Itu harga terakhir untuk hasil Ya. Trader membayar bagian dolar tersebut untuk kontrak yang membayar $1 jika peristiwa itu terjadi, sehingga harganya mencerminkan perkiraan pasar atas peluangnya.
Pasar diselesaikan menurut aturan di bawah. Polymarket memakai oracle optimistis UMA: siapa pun bisa mengusulkan hasil dan menyanggahnya selama masa sanggahan.
Bisa, di wilayah tempat Polymarket tersedia. Anda menghubungkan dompet sendiri; taruhan masuk ke Polymarket dan uangnya tidak pernah melewati COINMAG. Biaya COINMAG sebesar 1% ditambahkan ke setiap taruhan.
Departemen Keuangan AS menambahkan delapan perusahaan Kanada ke dalam daftar sanksinya, menuduh mereka memfasilitasi perdagangan kripto untuk entitas terkait Iran dan IRGC.
Binance Prancis akan mulai mengenakan biaya bulanan pada saldo idle mulai 29 November dan menutup semua akun pelanggan pada 31 Desember setelah gagal memperoleh lisensi MiCA.