Where Solana trades now
Solana is trading at about $86. Over the past week the price moved down 9 percent. This places SOL about 71 percent below its all‑time high of roughly $293.
Upside potential
Polymarket lists a $140 level with a 7 percent chance of being hit by December 31, 2026. Every level from $160 and higher carries under 5 percent odds, meaning the market views higher targets as very unlikely.
Downside risk
The market assigns a 74 percent chance that SOL stays above $80, a 38 percent chance it could dip to $70, a 12 percent chance for $60 and an 8 percent chance for $50. Every level from $40 and lower is under 5 percent, indicating very low odds for deeper declines.
What our news says
Solana Labs launched the Leap beta app on iPhone, enabling on‑chain trading of tokenized stocks, ETFs, metals and crypto with no launch fees. The Solana Company announced a Hong Kong expansion, creating a 30‑person team to advise banks on real‑world asset tokenization and holding 2.2 million SOL. China’s central bank halted a Solana promotional event in Shanghai and opened an inquiry into local partners. Solo Bitcoin miners recorded 36 blocks in 2026, earning roughly $8.5 million.
How to read these odds
The percentages shown are the prices of bets on Polymarket, not forecasts of future price. They are updated every minute as traders buy and sell positions, so the odds can shift rapidly.