Current Trading Situation
Solana trades at about $96 and has slipped 7% in the last seven days. The price sits roughly 67% below its all‑time high of about $293.
Upside Potential
The market assigns a 13% chance that SOL reaches $140 by the end of 2026. A 7% chance is priced for $160 and a 5% chance for $180. Longer‑shot levels above $200 each carry odds under 5%.
Downside Risks
Polymarket shows a 37% probability that SOL falls to $80 by year‑end 2026. The odds for $70 are 22%, for $60 are 11% and for $50 are 8%. Levels at $40 and lower each have odds under 5%.
Recent Solana News
Schroders launched a tokenized emerging‑markets bond fund on Solana in partnership with Centrifuge. Co‑founder Anatoly Yakovenko warned that phishing and social engineering are the biggest threats to crypto. A study found that Solana trades bypassing aggregators incur wider realized spreads. Securitize added 13 tokenized U.S. stocks to its Solana platform, bringing the total to 25.
How to Read These Odds
The percentages shown are the prices of bets on Polymarket, not forecasts of the future price. They update every minute as traders buy and sell positions.