8% Chance+5 Pp. in 24 Std.
Daten: Polymarket, minütlich aktualisiert. · Bis 1. Jan. 2027
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Es ist der letzte Preis für Ja. Trader zahlen diesen Anteil eines Dollars für einen Kontrakt, der $1 auszahlt, wenn das Ereignis eintritt; der Preis ist also die Einschätzung des Marktes.
Der Markt wird nach den Regeln unten aufgelöst. Polymarket nutzt das optimistische Orakel von UMA: Jeder kann ein Ergebnis vorschlagen und es in einer Prüffrist anfechten.
Ja, wo Polymarket verfügbar ist. Du verbindest deine eigene Wallet; die Wette geht an Polymarket und das Geld läuft nie über COINMAG.
